 |
Subtitle: How to Survive and Prosper During
the Great Deflation of 2014 - 2019, Portfolio, Penguin, N.Y., 2014, 358 pgs.,
index, graphs
|
|
| |
Reviewer Comments: The author places his
major analysis on demographics, not only the results of the numbers of births
each year and the resulting numbers of producers and consumers in each 5 or 10
year population segment but also the results of his studies of what people
actually do at each period of their life. He uses statistics and probabilities
to tell in great detail what people buy or sell at what ages. But even so he
cannot predict the future actions and reactions of individuals and groups
(organizations for instance) -behaviors - that will result in significant
changes. For instance, although the world had already entered another major
deflationary era in 2000, by 2014 governments and their central banks had been
taking unprecedented steps to prevent deflation and attempt to generate
inflation. Japan has not yet suffered as drastically as predicted. The
financial bubble has continued to inflate. Real estate has in some ways
reverted to being quite the same.
|
|
| |
Introduction
|
|
|
Chapter 1 - The Demographic Cliff Around the
World
|
|
| |
Chapter 2 - Following Japan into a Coma
Economy
|
|
| |
Chapter 3 - Why Real Estate will Never Be
the Same
|
|
| |
Chapter 4 - A Look at Public and Private Debt
|
|
|
Chapter 5 - A Brief History of Financial
Bubbles
|
|
|
Chapter 6 - Commodity Prices: The Achilles'
Heel of Emerging Countries
|
|
|
Chapter 7 - Investment Strategies for the
Financial Crisis Ahead
|
|
|
Chapter 8 - Business Strategies for the
Winter Season
|
|
|
Chapter 9 - Government Strategies for
Facilitating Free Markets
|
|
|
Epilogue - A Major Revolution Brews Every 250
Years
|
|
| |
Some References
|
|
|
Glenn Hubbard and Tim Kane - The Economics
of Great Powers
|
|
|
William Strauss & Neil Howe - The
Fourth Turning
|
|
|
Mark Skousen - The Structure of
Production
|
|
|
Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner -
Superforecasting The Art and Science of Prediction
|
|
|
Peter Zeihan - Accidental Superpower
|
|
|
Peter Zeihan - Absent Superpower
|
|
|
Peter Zeihan - Disunited Nations
|
|
