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SEVEN DEADLY INNOCENT FRAUDS
OF ECONOMIC POLICY

Warren Mosler

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Valance Co. April, 15, 2010, 117 pgs.

 
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The author also posts a discussion of these 'frauds' here. this version is in an easily understood format. Some of the ideas expressed are correct in that the 'fraud' they expose is a false concept. But in doing so the author creates other false concepts. And he ignors or conceals the actual current real activities of government in the process.

 
 

Reviewer Comment:
This is extreme MMT. The author takes this Modern Monetary Policy beyond any limit and claims that the world monetary policy is a giant fraud. He lists these and also offers a set of alernative monetary - fiscal policies that would solve all economic problems. He organizes the book into four major sections: 1. to 'reveal' the frauds. 2. the develoopment of his own 'awarness' of these frauds. 3. he applies this knowledge to analysis of contemporary fiscal-financial-monetary life. 4. He describes his own solutions - a plan of action to 'realize our economic poential and restore the American dream.
The author apparently obtained significant wealth through the hedge fund he organized and more recently has dabbled in politics, building automobiles and engaging in hobby economic theory. See - {short description of image}

 
 

Mr. Mosler lists his seven frauds as follows:
1 The government must raise funds through taxation or borrowing in order to spend. in other words. government spending is limited by its ability to tax or borrow.

2. With government deficits, we are leaving our debt burden to our children.

3. Government budget deficits take away savings.

4. Social Security is broken.

5. The trade deficit is an unsustainable imbalance that takes away jobs and output.

6. We need savings to provide the funds for investment.

7. It's a bad thing that higher deficits today mean higher taxes tomorrow.

 

Fraud 1
The author is correct that the government does not need to raise funds in order to 'spend'. But 'spend' is a euphomism for confiscate. The government confiscates privately produced goods and services and consumes them (including by its clients). In premodern societies this was accomplished by 'tax in kind' deliveries of actual goods (grain for instance) and demanded corvee labor. To enable greater flexibility governments create tokens that they exchange with producers and then 'tax' the same tokens back to balance its accounts.

 
 

Fraud 2
The author is again correct. The 'debt' column in the government account books is the counterpart of the 'credit' that the government has issued in exchange for real goods and services in excess of that amount it has taken back via 'tax'. See 'fraud 1". When one exchanges a promise to deliver a good in the future for receiving one today that is the normal definition of 'debt'. But this debt will never be 'repaid'. It cannot be because the government won't have produced new goods in the future any more than it has such produced goods to exchange NOW.
To the extent that the 'debt entry' may be reduced from time to time the accounting result is that an equal amount of 'credit' is canceled. The government 'pays' ('spends') by exchanging two forms of debt with private producers. One is cash, currency, which debt does not include any return payment nor is its future value assured. The other is 'credit' instruments (bonds, bills, et cetera) which does carry a promise to repay by issue of currency. Since the future relative value of that future currency is not assured the government agrees to pay the holders 'interest', to encourage them to retain it rather than cash it in.
Our children will not repay that 'debt' BUT they very well might demand the government redeam it by exchanging it for currency. And this is the fiscal disaster the government officials (Treasury - FED and others) faced in 2008 when they urged their wives to rush and withdraw cash from ATM's. The government might be expected to exchange debt instruments (securities) for cash which does not exist. And this might be even worse if foreign holders of our government debt securities demand cash. To avoid that financial disaster in 2008 the government created a massive amount of more credit and exchanged much of it with foreign banks.. -

 
 

Fraud 3
The problem with this concept making it a fraud is the confusion over the definition of 'savings'. The author accepts this common misunderstanding that any currency or 'credit' provided by government in exchange for real goods and seervices that the government consumes, which is not immediately consumed by the private sector is 'savings'. But it is not. Real savings can only be created in the production process when there is a 'retained surplus' resulting from the value of the production exceeding the value of the consumption required during that process and consumption made from the produced goods. Any financial instruments (currency or credit) issued by government and not consumed is not savings but accrued debt.

 
 

Fraud 4
The author is correct for the same reasons that his discussion of 'fraud 2' is correct. The FICA 'tax' that is officially separated from income and other taxes is not actually separate. All forms of government taxation are forms of government confiscation. The FICA 'tax' replaces corvee labor extracted from the productive public.

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Fraud 5
Both this 'fraud' as it is described and the author's opinion that it is a 'fraud' are both mistaken. The very idea that foreign producers would exchange real goods and services of value for something worthess is absurd. But there are multiple and separate reasons for the failure to recognize the nature of the problem.
1. the idea that an American consumer is exchanging goods he produced with foreign producers directly is false. The exchange is conducted by the government banks in both countries. To the extent that the relative value of the produced American goods desired by the foreign government do not equal the the relative value of the produced foreign goods desired by the American consumers the difference in notional relative value is adjusted by the currency values established by the two government banks. Note also, I point out that in the case of China the specific goods imported are those desired by the Chinese government, NOT individual Chinese producers.
2. But the real overlooked falicy is about the idea that the difference between imports and exports (apart from the currency manipulation) is adjusted by the sale of US Treasury instruments to the foreign bank AND that those instruments are AT the Treasury. In the era in which trade balances were adjusted by gold transfers (gold was the international financial reserve) the government importing greater value of foreign goods than it exported had to make up the difference in gold, which was either physically shipped out or kept in a US bank vault. Now the US dollar is the world financial reserve standard. the US treasury instruments act as the financial reserves on foreign bank accounts just as the do in American bank accounts. With 'fractional reserve' banking it is just as possible for a foreign government bank to issue loans (credits) to whomever as it is for a US bank to do so. US dollars thus are used in the world's credit markets daily in a volume vastly exceeding the total annual US production.
3. The fundamental concept preached by libertarians and some other economists that imports are an economic gain and exports are an economic loss is refuted by the actual, real example of so many countries (such as Germany, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, ) that have so obviously greatly raised the standard of living of their entire populations by focusing on increasing exports.

 
 

Fraud 6
The author claims this concept is a fraud because he does not understand the definition of 'savings'. Yes, we DO need savings to create investment. Because real savings are only created, as I note above, from the 'retained surplus' from production - that part of private production not consumed that is then available for investment - that is creating capital.

 

Fraud 7
The author is correct that deficits and taxes are not linked directly.But that in no way helps to make MMT valid. And the whole discussion based on financial - monetary - measures conceals what government is really doing. Since the earliest times when 'taxes' first became payable in government created monetary instruments such as coins they were a substitute for 'taxes' originally demanded in kind or in corvee labor. In the earlier polities the rulers simply confiscated a portion of privately created production - or they claimed ownership of the production by themselves or the gods they represented. But as societies became more complex the problem for the rulers was to distribute the goods received as taxation to greater numbers of government workers - especially soldiers - and government clients. The introduction of coins (currency) forced the private producers to exchange (sell) their goods and services for the coins government had given its soldiers and workers. The rulers were then able to take back the same coins in the new form of taxation. The final result was the same. The ruler's deficit consists of having issued more credit in exchange for produced goods and services that they take back as tax.

 
     
     
     
     
     
     
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Sebastian Edwards - Modern Monetary Theory: Cautionary Tales from Latin America

 
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